The $8,000-a-Year Line Item
Medical costs aren't just a budget category for Sarah — they're a planning variable that compounds over decades.
Sarah's MS medication costs roughly $90,000 per year at list price. Her firm's group health plan covers most of it, but between specialist copays, MRIs every six months, the medication's copay after insurance, and various supplements, she's spending about $8,000 annually out of pocket. That's manageable on $180K. The problem is projecting it forward.
She worked with a financial planner who specializes in chronic illness to model healthcare costs through retirement. If she retires at 55, she'll need to cover her own insurance for ten years before Medicare. COBRA lasts 18 months. ACA marketplace plans could run $1,800-$2,200 per month. That's roughly $200,000 in healthcare costs alone between 55 and 65, before Medicare Part D donut holes and supplemental coverage.
Sarah didn't flinch at the number. She put it in a spreadsheet and started reverse-engineering how to fund it.
$8,000
Current annual out-of-pocket
With employer-sponsored insurance
$20K-$26K
Projected annual cost (55-65)
ACA marketplace + out-of-pocket
$200,000+
Total healthcare bridge estimate
Decade between retirement and Medicare
The Pre-Medicare Gap
Early retirees with chronic conditions face brutal arithmetic: employer insurance ends, Medicare hasn't started, and ACA premiums are based on income, not health status. Planning for this gap is essential — not optional.
The Reality Check
Every year of early retirement adds roughly $22,000 in unbuffered healthcare costs.
Try It Yourself
Model your own healthcare bridge costs